Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000162 0.000179 0.000198 0.000219 0.000243 0.000270 0.000301
2025-05-11 0.000130 0.000154 0.000184 0.000220 0.000265 0.000319 0.000389
2025-05-18 0.000109 0.000137 0.000172 0.000218 0.000280 0.000359 0.000469
2025-05-25 0.000095 0.000124 0.000163 0.000217 0.000292 0.000394 0.000547
2025-06-01 0.000084 0.000114 0.000154 0.000214 0.000301 0.000425 0.000621
2025-06-08 0.000073 0.000103 0.000144 0.000206 0.000301 0.000443 0.000677
2025-06-15 0.000068 0.000098 0.000141 0.000209 0.000316 0.000484 0.000773
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000094 0.000139 0.000213 0.000334 0.000530 0.000884
2025-06-29 0.000058 0.000088 0.000133 0.000209 0.000337 0.000552 0.000957
2025-07-06 0.000052 0.000080 0.000124 0.000199 0.000330 0.000557 0.001001
2025-07-13 0.000049 0.000077 0.000122 0.000200 0.000341 0.000593 0.001105
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000075 0.000121 0.000203 0.000356 0.000638 0.001234
2025-07-27 0.000044 0.000071 0.000117 0.000202 0.000363 0.000672 0.001350
2025-08-03 0.000041 0.000068 0.000115 0.000204 0.000377 0.000721 0.001510
2025-08-10 0.000039 0.000065 0.000112 0.000202 0.000385 0.000758 0.001650
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000062 0.000108 0.000201 0.000392 0.000796 0.001797
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000059 0.000105 0.000198 0.000396 0.000827 0.001936
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000055 0.000099 0.000191 0.000391 0.000837 0.002023
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000054 0.000098 0.000193 0.000405 0.000895 0.002247
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000053 0.000098 0.000197 0.000424 0.000964 0.002518
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000050 0.000095 0.000193 0.000424 0.000988 0.002662
2025-09-28 0.000025 0.000047 0.000089 0.000185 0.000413 0.000982 0.002721
2025-10-05 0.000024 0.000045 0.000088 0.000186 0.000423 0.001034 0.002969